The Studies
Deep dives into the process and the data.
Jake DeBrusk Trade Outlook
Jake DeBrusk is on the market, and the asking price is a first-round pick. To figure out whether that's fair, I read his card to see what he actually is, then ran a study on every pick from 14 to 32 going back to 2006 to see what those picks usually become. The hit rate is the whole argument.
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The Vancouver Canucks Need To Be Talking To The Ottawa Senators
The Senators traded Brady Tkachuk and came out of it now holding the 9th, 25th and 32nd picks in the upcoming draft. That's a big swing for a team that isn't actually rebuilding. Their core is young and good and nowhere near done. So the question for Ottawa isn't whether to tear it down. It's how to replace what Tkachuk gave them and keep competing, with a draft hand that's suddenly loaded.
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How Vegas Built a Winner, and What the Numbers Say They Do Differently
No team in modern history has been this good this fast. I went through how the Golden Knights built their roster, then ran every team's MoneyPuck data against them since 2017. Five things stood out, and the biggest one almost nobody talks about: they're the most disciplined team in hockey.
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